Tuesday, March 10, 2026

The Vern’s Almost Accurate Oscar Winner Predictions 2026 (For Movies Released in 2025)

 


Ok Movie fans, Here are my final predictions on who is going to win at the Academy Awards on 03/15/2026. I’m only listing who I think will win in each category.  Im not posting who I want to win, I’m only picking who I think will win the gold statue.  This was tough to do and I most likely will be completely wrong with my predictions and I am OK with that.  This is one Oscars where I really have absoluetely no clue on how members of the Academy are going to vote.   I should have written this earlier but I was sick last week  and didn’t really want to.   There will be a live recording of Cinema Recall Podcast(Subscribe to our YouTube channel) during the Oscars where I will take a shot for every category I get wrong. 

 

Best Actor:

Timothee Chalamet – Marty Supreme

Leonrado DiCaprio – One Battle After Another

Ethan Hawke – Blue Moon

Michael B. Jordan – Sinners

Wagner Moura – The Secret Agent

Winner- Michael B. Jordan  

 


Best Suppourting Actor

Benico Del Toro – One Battle After Another

Sean Penn – One Battle After Another

Delroy Lindo – Sinners

Jacob Elordi – Frankenstein

Stellan Skarsgard – Sentimental Value

Winner – Sean Penn

 

 


 

Best Actress

Jesse Buckley – Hamnet

Rose Byrne – If I had Legs, I’d Kick You

Kate Hudson – Song Sung Blue

Emma Stone – Bugonia

Renate Reinsve – Sentimental Value

Winner – Jesse Buckley


Best Suppourting Actress

Elle Fanning – Sentimental Value

Inga Ibsdotter Lilleaas – Sentimental Value

Wunmi Mosaku – Sinners

Teyana Taylor – One Battle After Another

Amy Madigan – Weapons

Winner – Amy Madigan



Best Animated Feature

Arco

Ello

KPop Demon Hunters

Little Amelle or The Character of Rain

Zootopia 2

WinnerKpop Demon Hunters



 Best Animated Short Film

Butterfly

Forevergreen

The Girl Who Cried Pearls

Retirement Plan

The Three Sisters

Winner – The Girl Who Cried Pearls

(I have not seen a single one of these I just like the name of my winning pick so there you have it)

 

Best Casting (I’m only listing movies not the person nominated , ok.  This goes for all the technical awards as well.)

Sinners

The Secret Agent

One Battle After Another

Marty Supreme

Hamnet

WinnerOne Battle After Another



  –Best Cinematography.

Frankenstein

Marty Supreme

Train Dreams

Sinners

One Battle After Another

Winner - One Battle After Another


Best Costume Design

Avatar: Fire and Ash

Frankenstein

Hamnet

Marty Supreme

Sinners

Winner – Hamnet  ( Watch my short review of Hamnet during this episode)



 

Best Director.

Chloe Zhao – Hamnet

Josh Safdie – Marty Supreme

Ryan Coogler – Sinners

Paul Thomas Anderson – One Battle After Another

Joachim Trier – Sentimental Value

Winner – Paul Thomas Anderson (Check out our PTA Meetings Series on YouTube)


Best Documentary (Feature)

The Alabama Solution

Come See Me in the Good Light

Mr. Nobody Against Putin

The Perfect Neighbor

Cutting Through Rocks

Winner – Mr. Nobody Against Putin ( read my full review)

 

 


 

Best Documentary (Short)

All The Empty Rooms

Armed Only with a Camera. The Life and Death of Brent Renaud

Children No More “We Are Gone”

The Devil is Busy

Perfectly a Strangness

Winner –Perfectly a Strangeness


Best Film Editing

F1

Marty Supreme

One Battle After Another

Sentimental Value

Sinners

Winner –  One Battle After Another


 


Best International Film

Brazil – The Secret Agent

France – It Was Just an Accident

Norway – Sentimental Value

Spain – Sirat

Tunisia – The Voice of Hind Rajab

Winner – Norway




 

Best Live Action Short

Butcher’s Stain

A Friend of Dorothy

Jane Austin’s Period Drama

The Singers

Two People Exchanging Saliva

Winner – Two People Exchanging Saliva

 

Best Makeup and Hairstyling

Frankenstein

Kokuho

Sinners

The Smashing Machine

The Ugly Stepsister

Winner –Frankenstein (But I am going to root for The Ugly Stepsister)



 

Best Original Score

Jerskin Fendrix – Bugonia

Alexandre Desplat – Frankenstein

Max Richter – Hamnet

Ludwig Goransson – Sinners

Jonny Greenwood – One Battle After Another

Winner - Ludwig Goransson  

 



Best Song

Dear Me – Diane Warrant:Relentless

Golden – Kpop Demon Hunters

I Lied to You - Sinners

Sweet Dreams of Joy – Viva Verdi

Train Dreams – Train Dreams

Winner  - Golden



Best Production Design

Frankenstein

Hamnet

Marty Supreme

Sinners

One Battle After Another

Winner - Hamnet

 

Best Sound

F1

Frankenstein

One Battle After Another

Sirat

Sinners

Winner – F1

 

 


 

Best Visual Effects

F1

Avatar: Fire and Ash

Jurassic World Rebirth

The Lost Bus

Sinners

Winner – Sinners


 

Best Adapted Screenplay

Will Tracy – Bugonia

Guillermo Del Toro  - Frankenstein

Chloe Zhao & Maggie 0’Farrell – Hamnet

Paul Thomas Anderson - One Battle After Another

Clint Bently & Greg Kwedar – Train Dreams

Winner – P.T.A.

 

Best Original Screenplay

Ryan Coogler – Sinners

Robert Kaplow – Blue Moon

Eskil Vogt & Joachim Trier – Sentimental Value

Ronald Bronstein & Josh Safdie – Marty Supreme

Jafar Panahi – It Was Just an Accident

Winner – Ryan Coogler.


 


 

Best Picture

Bugonia

F1

Frankenstien

Hamnet

Marty Supreme

One Battle After Another

The Secret Agent

Sentimental Value

Sinners

Train Dreams

Winner- One Battle After Another ( Read my full written Review)



(Look it could very much go to Sinners and if so I wil not be at all upset. It is a good movie and the cast and crew all did a great job, but One Battle after Another just feels like a message to stand up and fight  against the people who want to do wrong feels more relevant and important.)


I'm a proud member of the Minnesota Film Critics Association.  Read my bio below.

https://mnfilmcriticsassociation.com/2024/09/25/jasonhemming/

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The Vern’s Almost Accurate Oscar Winner Predictions 2026 (For Movies Released in 2025)

  Ok Movie fans, Here are my final predictions on who is going to win at the Academy Awards on 03/15/2026. I’m only listing who I think will...